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That earlier rebound looked pretty fierce. In reality, I didn’t chase it much—the reason is simple: the buy-side support near the high end of $GUA has started to thin out. What really got my attention was that after the price pushed up to around 1.31292, it didn’t keep breaking through with increased volume; instead, it showed consecutive push-backs. This kind of move can easily shift from a long-bait to a long-liquidation trap.
Back then, a lot of people were still hesitating, thinking it was just normal consolidation, but the structure clearly changed. After shorts were entered, the pace didn’t drag at all. It’s currently been pushed down to 0.0509, and the return rate has run up to +953.35%. The volatility room opened faster than expected.
In this kind of market, you can’t just look at one line—you need to see whether there are people willing to absorb the rebound. Now that the profit is already in place, if you have positions, remember to protect them and don’t let the gains retrace too much. My approach is still fairly steady: take profit in batches using an 80/20 split, and leave a small portion to watch for continuation. If you didn’t get on, don’t chase—wait for the next opportunity.
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