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95% short win rate—do you dare to follow this move in BTC?
$BTC /USDT - Short SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 65009.7 – 65202.5
SL: 66031.7
TP1: 64411.9
TP2: 63949.0
TP3: 63254.8
Why focus on this structure?
- On the 4-hour timeframe, the trend is clearly bearish; the daily chart is also a bear-market structure, with double suppression.
- RSI on the 15-minute is only 50.98; rebounds lack strength, and the short side is aligned below the EMA.
- ATR on the 1-hour is 385 points, with moderate volatility. Enter around 65106; set stop loss at 66031.7. The risk-reward ratio is over 3:1.
- Why now? A short-term rebound hits resistance, but the bearish momentum hasn’t been released yet—TP1 at 64411.9 is within reach.
Discussion:
For this move, do you hit TP2 63949 first, or does it lure a rebound up to the SL?