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The most comfortable part of this trade isn’t that it dropped and then I’m happy—it’s that the rhythm matches my earlier judgment. The kind of heavy pressure at the highs from a few days ago was very obvious. The rebound looks lively, but in reality every time price tries to surge there isn’t any follow-through; more importantly, nobody is taking over at the key levels—the order book has already started to turn bearish.
I didn’t do this on a whim. Before the signal came out, I had already observed the changes. When FIL was around 0.9335, the rebound strength clearly started to weaken—overhead resistance wasn’t being absorbed. I then executed the trade directly on a short-side thesis: going long against the idea. Now it’s at 0.7849, and the profit is +766.6%. This stretch has had fairly clean upside/downside room to release.
In plain terms, the rhythm has changed. Just because it could rise before doesn’t mean it can keep rising. With no buy-side acceptance at the highs, the pullback will only get smoother. A lot of people are still waiting for it to get back above there again, but the market has already answered.
This trade isn’t about greed. First, handle it in batches using an 80/20 split. The rest will be kept with a protection level to see whether the move continues. If you don’t have a position, don’t force a chase—don’t open a trade, and wait for the next opportunity.
$FIL $ETH