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Rumor: Stripe is bringing in Advent to acquire PayPal for $53 billion, with an offer price of $60.5. PayPal closed yesterday at $47.37, a 27% premium.
1. After the news broke, the current pre-market price is around 55, and it hasn’t fully reached 60. The certainty still isn’t quite enough.
2. After the acquisition, Stripe and Advent each hold 50% of the shares; they won’t be split up.
3. PayPal has not responded yet, and no agreement has been signed.
4. Although the $60.5 offer is a 27% premium and looks good, a year ago PayPal was probably valued at $70.
5. This offer corresponds to only about 11.4–11.8x of 2026 expected non-GAAP earnings per share.
6. The $60.5 offer might just be an initial bid; if there’s interest in a deal, the price could be raised further later on.
7. Stripe is a strategic buyer, while Advent is a financial buyer, but with each holding 50%; governance will likely be a major problem going forward.