Predict.fun World Cup semifinals: England vs. Argentina showdown, with England’s chance of advancing reaching 53%

BlockBeats news, July 15: Data from the market platform Predict.fun shows that in the 2026 FIFA World Cup semi-final between England and Argentina, England will take on Argentina. As of the time of writing, the market gives England an advancement probability of about 53%, and Argentina about 46%, with the support rates for both sides nearly tied.

In the early hours of July 16 Beijing time, this much-anticipated World Cup semi-final will once again feature a classic “England vs. Argentina” showdown. In World Cup history, the two teams have met in five editions: 1962, 1966, 1986, 1998, and 2002, making it one of the most talked-about matchups in the tournament. In their head-to-head meetings, England has a slight overall advantage, but in the previous three times the sides met in World Cup knockout matches, Argentina won twice, while England won only once—ultimately capturing the first World Cup title in the team’s history.

In this World Cup, both teams’ paths to qualification have also been full of tests. Argentina went to the last moments in three consecutive knockout rounds, eliminating respectively Côte d’Ivoire (Ivory Coast), Egypt, and Switzerland; England, meanwhile, staged consecutive comebacks against DR Congo and Norway, and narrowly beat Mexico, showing strong ability to fight through adversity. This match is not only a key game for Lionel Messi’s Argentina to chase back-to-back title defenses, but also an important opportunity for England to return to the World Cup final for the first time in 60 years.