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7.15 Huang midday afternoon thoughts
In the afternoon, focus on a short-term trade within the 4025–4010 support range. This range can only provide a short-term buffer; it is not strong defensive support and does not have the force to continuously hold up the price.
The turning point hinges on the European session (EU): if the price holds above the current support range during the EU session, the short-term market will likely see a repair and rebound setup. The main upside pressure is concentrated at the 4046–4056 area. Whether the rebound trend can continue afterwards depends entirely on whether this zone can be effectively broken through and held.
If the 4010 support fails, the bearish trend will open further. Downside, watch two key support levels in order: 3986 and 3953.
Trading logic
1. If there’s a pullback to 4025–4010 and then it stabilizes, try a small long position; stop loss at 4008; target 4046–4056;
2. If price breaks upward and holds above 4056, follow the move to go long and look for the rebound to continue;
3. If 4010 is directly broken down, follow the short; downside target 3986, and if it breaks further, then look at 3953.
Risk warning: market moves are fast and volatile. Set stop losses strictly, and trade rationally with controlled position sizing.