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1880-1900 go in batches, stop loss above 1915. Cut the position by half at 1840-1830, and let the rest follow 1810-1800.
After the CPI impulse pumps one wave, the good news gets realized and funds realize profits (take profits) and exit. If the 1900 resistance level can’t be broken through, it’s the short-side liquidation harvesting zone.
Overhead resistance: 1900-1909. The upper Bollinger band plus a dense trapped-positions area. After the spike to 1896 last night, it was directly smashed back down.
Downside targets: 1840-1830 for the first stop; if it breaks down, look at 1810-1800.
① On the 1-hour chart, after topping at 1896, it turned and headed lower. The candles keep closing bearish, rebounds lack strength, and it has returned to below the prior high. A continuous push has stacked a large amount of profit-taking positions, and bullish momentum is clearly fading
② On the 4-hour chart, RSI hit 72 into the overbought zone. The CPI-driven, impulse-style rally is fully emotion-driven, and its follow-through is questionable
③ The 1900 integer level is a heavy prior-positions density pressure area. A single piece of good news is hard to break through effectively in one go and then hold; profit-taking intent at high levels is strong
No single trade loss should exceed 1% of total capital. Around 1900 is an overbought area, not a place to chase. Don’t hold onto losing positions.
After the news lands, sentiment will inevitably cool off and price will ultimately revert to technicals.
Don’t treat the news-driven impulse as the start of a trend. $ETH