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Brothers, in the past few days, many people have asked whether this is a bull market or a bear market. But the question itself is wrong. Most of the time, the market is range-bound; there are very few one-direction moves where it only goes up or only goes down.
A range-bound market is the most frustrating—it’s easy to lose money back and forth. When it ticks up a little, people chase it, then it turns and spikes before falling back; when it dips a little, panic leads to cutting losses, and the next day the market rebounds again. You spend half a day messing around, but your principal keeps shrinking instead of moving.
When there’s no clear trend, doing fewer trades matters far more than chasing a higher win rate. Many people think you have to be in the market every day for it to count as trading. But seasoned traders know this—staying in cash and waiting is also part of trading. The market won’t accommodate your impatience. No patience means you’ll keep paying tuition.
Don’t doubt your trading system just because others are making money. There will always be people who profit and people who lose in the market. We can’t capture every move; it’s enough to only do the opportunities that fit our own system.
I’d rather miss a move than fear missing out and place a trade I’m not confident about. In long-term trading, making fewer mistakes is key—more important than making more profits. Risk management always comes first. Let the market handle the profits. Your principal is always on your phone; once you get wiped out, even the best market becomes irrelevant to you.
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