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$SKHYNIX : The long-side structure is obvious—shorting on the short term is the best solution!
At first glance, SKHYNIX is indeed strong: funds have concentrated in the Korean stock market, OI continues to climb, moving averages are arranged in a bullish order, and the price has broken through a key resistance with an upside breakout candle—the momentum is still amplifying.
But Cai’s son’s view is exactly the opposite: at this level, the cost-effectiveness of shorting is increasing.
Why short?
1. After a continuous run-up, profit-taking positions are piling up heavily. The market has already accumulated a large amount of short-term floating profit chips; once sentiment loosens even slightly, the pressure to realize gains will be concentrated.
2. A “high-level dulling” signal has appeared on the technicals. Although the moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, the momentum indicator has started to show signs of divergence. Price is still rising, but the driving force is weakening—this is a common early warning sign of a short-term top.
3. Market sentiment is overheated. When everyone sees “the main force accumulating,” it often means short-term sentiment has already been fully filled. The stronger retail investors’ desire to chase longs, the higher the probability that the main force will harvest them in the opposite direction.
4. Doubts about the sustainability of the overall rebound in the Korean stock market. This kind of rally driven by regional market sentiment—if the external environment changes, the speed at which the tide recedes is often faster than the speed of the rise. #加密市场回升