Old Trump changes course at the drop of a hat—oil prices surge then give back! $CL Long and short side battles intensify

Brothers, within a single day, Old Trump “changes orders in the morning and reverses them by evening,” and oil prices took a roller-coaster ride. CL spiked sharply at one point during the session, then pulled back hard and surrendered the gains.

News:

Old Trump just announced on Monday that a 20% fee would be imposed on cargo shipments through the Strait of Hormuz. Gulf countries called to object overnight, and by Tuesday he changed his tune—cancel the charging and instead have Gulf countries increase investment in the United States.

But canceling the fees doesn’t mean the fighting stops—U.S. forces carried out airstrikes on Iran for the fourth consecutive night, reimposing the blockade on Iran–Gulf ports. Iranian missile attacks hit two UAE oil tankers, causing 1 death and 8 injuries. The Iranian side said it “will not make concessions” on the strait issue. Data shows U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 564k barrels last week.

Technicals:

Resistance: 80–80.5, breakout to watch 82–83

Support: 78–78.5, if broken then look at 76.5–77

Public sentiment:

Old Trump’s “changes orders in the morning and reverses them by evening” shows there are already disagreements inside the White House about oil prices being out of control. As long as the U.S.–Iran military conflict doesn’t stop, there will always be a risk of disrupted supply through Hormuz. However, sell pressure above 80 is clearly evident—don’t chase higher blindly.

Trading strategy:

Conservative: wait for a pullback to around 78–78.5 to go long
Aggressive: go long near the current price around 79

Old Trump’s mouth, crude oil’s legs—what he says doesn’t matter; what he does is what matters. #美国核心CPI未达预期 #伊朗宣布关闭霍尔木兹海峡