7.15 Morning BTC Analysis

Analysis: Short near 64,900–65,100. First target 64,300, second target 63,800. Defense at 65,450.
After multiple consecutive pushes higher on the 15-minute timeframe, bullish momentum gradually exhausts. Price surged to a high at 65,100 but lacked the strength to continue upward. After this round of gains, it enters a high-range consolidation phase to digest the move. In the short term, the moving average EMA7 turns downward; price is pressured and pulls back. During the uptrend, trading volume keeps shrinking, and the momentum for bulls to push higher is seriously insufficient. The market has tested the prior high resistance several times but failed to break through effectively. Candlesticks repeatedly form long upper-wick “spike up then retreat” patterns; short-term bullish buying continues to fade. Profits from short-term entries made earlier at lower levels are gradually being realized and leaving the market. Trapped positions above keep trimming on rebounds, and the dual overhang of selling pressure accumulates step by step. If the market cannot increase volume and hold above the 65,100 resistance level, the pullback after the rise will officially begin. The trading plan is to primarily wait for a rebound back into the resistance area and then take positions on shorts accordingly. On the downside, pay close attention to the 64,680 moving-average support level; once it is effectively broken, the room for the downward adjustment will further expand.
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