$77 for $SOL —are you looking to buy the dip?

First, look at the surface: it’s down 50%, and retail investors are panicking, chanting “back to zero.”
Over the past year it’s fallen more than 50%, down 47% in six months. From the 2025 high of 260, it got slashed in half, then slashed again. But today, as BTC rebounds, it’s back to 77—up 2% in the past 24 hours, and the monthly chart is still up 11%.
The 74–80 range has been repeatedly tested as a bottom. RSI/MACD are neutral—no extreme overbought or oversold. The bottom is being firmly built; it only needs one more high-volume bullish candle.
First thing: SBI is here—Japanese capital has entered with $200 billion.
SBI Holdings, a Japanese financial giant managing over $230 billion in assets, has partnered with Solana to form a joint venture called “SBI Solana Global.” It holds Solana equity and plans to issue a Japanese yen stablecoin, JPYSC. It also wants to do tokenized bonds, funds, and real estate, along with cross-border payments and institutional DeFi.
Second thing: On-chain data isn’t lying—it’s telling you that “real usage has never stopped.”
In a single week, non-voting transactions surpassed 100 million. Active addresses are close to 7 million, and network utilization is near its annual high. The Sunrise protocol lets external assets be traded natively on Solana; it has already generated $3.5 billion in transaction volume and 14 million trades.
Price is down 50%, but users are up 100%.
This isn’t speculation—it’s a necessity.
Pumpfun ecosystem, DeFi, RWA, cross-chain—Solana has already transformed from a “meme chain” into the king of Layer-1 driven by a dual engine of “institutional + practical use.”
Third thing: The macro environment is starting to turn, and SOL is the biggest high-beta play.
June CPI came in cooler than expected: -0.4% month-over-month, and year-over-year fell to 3.5%. Core CPI is also softening, easing fears of further rate hikes. The Fed keeps rates at 3.50%–3.75%, but cooling inflation plus employment data may leave room for future policy loosening.
When money gets cheaper, risk assets can fly. And SOL—always the one that rebounds the fastest.
Key levels
Resistance overhead: 78–80 → 82 (breakout equals trend reversal) → 90–100
Support below: 76 → 74–72 (strong support zone) → 70 (the hard floor)
For short-term traders:
Pull back to 75–76.5, build longs in batches. Stop loss below 74; target 79–82. If it holds above 78 with strong volume, chase the long with a target of 85+.
For swing traders:
Wait for a breakout above 82 and confirm with a daily close. Add on the right side, target 90–100+.
If it breaks below 74, cut exposure first and wait.
For long-term believers:
Buy with blind conviction below 74. With SBI cooperation rolling out + Japanese stablecoin + institutional adoption, the 2027 target is 150–200+. Keep total position size at 10–20%, build in batches, and hold—don’t move.
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