📊 Can ARB’s price absorb 92.65M new tokens without losing its pace?

On 16th July, 92.65 million $ARB are scheduled to enter circulation. The release is valued at around $8.53 million and makes up 1.65% of the token’s currently released supply.

The unlocked tokens will be divided between two main groups. Around 56.13 million $ARB will go to the Arbitrum team, future team members, and advisors. The remaining 36.52 million $ARB will be allocated to investors.

Here, it’s worth noting that token unlocks don’t always lead to immediate selling. However, the new supply can move price in the short-term, depending on how recipients manage their holdings.

That 10% of fees collected from Chain and other Arbitrum Layer-2 networks will be directed to the Arbitrum ecosystem. This development is separate from the token unlock, but the growing source of ecosystem value may also be factoring into $ARB's longer-term outlook.

🔸 How is $ARBs price doing?

Despite the impending event, $ARB has recovered on the charts in recent sessions.
In fact, after falling towards the $0.07 range, the altcoin moved back above $0.09. Perhaps, there was buying interest ahead of the unlock.

The RSI was near 63 at press time meaning that the buyers had the upper hand without moving into overbought territory. MACD also turned positive, and that supported the move up.

The unlock could test this recovery. The future depends on whether buying demand stays strong enough to absorb the additional tokens.

🔸 Hope for derivatives traders?

Finally, $ARB’s Aggregated Open Interest went up to around $60.9 million. Many more traders seemed to be holding active positions in the market.

At the same time, the average funding rate was also positive at 0.0083%. Long positions appeared to be outweighing short positions, with traders largely expecting further upside on the charts.

What’s interesting is that this long positioning can also increase volatility if the market moves in the opposite direction.

‍$ARB