IBM plunged more than 20% before the bell; based on the drop, about $55 billion in market value disappeared in an instant.


Besides seeing IBM’s earnings blow up.
I also saw an industry signal more valuable than any storage research report.
In a letter to investors, IBM CEO Arvind Krishna mentioned that in the last few weeks of June, customers suddenly shifted more quarterly capital expenditures to server, storage, and memory purchases to lock in strained infrastructure and avoid the expected price increases.
That one sentence contains an enormous amount of information.
An enterprise’s IT budget is not unlimited. If the money temporarily flows to servers, storage, and memory, it will squeeze budgets for software and traditional IT projects.
Ultimately, IBM infrastructure revenue fell 7%, software grew by only 5%, and several large deals still failed to close as planned.
Of course, IBM can’t entirely blame the miss on memory this time—performance of the z17 mainframes also fell short of expectations, and IBM itself admitted the team wasn’t adapting fast enough to the sudden shift in customers’ budgets.
But a tech giant with nearly $70 billion in annual revenue would experience a performance gap because customers front-loaded server, storage, and memory purchases at quarter-end—this alone is worth paying attention to.
It shows that memory price hikes are no longer just present in vendor quotes and analysts’ models; they’ve started changing how enterprises actually prioritize purchases, even beginning to crowd out software companies’ revenue.
In the same week, SK Hynix chairman Choi Tae-won said on Nasdaq that the company plans to double capacity over the next five years, but what customers told him was still: “Not enough—we need more.”
One company had an earnings miss because customers rushed to secure infrastructure; another planned to double capacity, and customers still said it’s too little.
Two CEOs from opposite ends of the industry chain both gave the same answer: the memory shortage is transmitting from within the semiconductor industry to the entire enterprise IT budget.
So IBM’s crash today is, on the surface, about software and mainframes.
But what shows up in the earnings report is this: storage price increases have already started making other tech companies pick up the tab instead of IBM.
This can’t prove that storage stocks will definitely keep rising, but it at least proves that supply-demand tightness hasn’t eased and that price hikes are affecting downstream enterprises’ real purchasing decisions.
IBM-2.70%
SKHY-8.93%
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