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Two major key events tonight: risk warning—do not heavily hold positions and harden through risk!
At 20:30 tonight, the U.S. June CPI inflation data will be released. Although the market expects overall inflation to cool slightly, there is a risk that core inflation could rise again. This CPI figure shows a slight decline—it's merely a temporary pullback caused by lower oil prices in the short term, not a real easing of inflation pressure.
At 22:00 tonight, following immediately is the Fed’s Waller testimony speech. Its remarks will directly change the direction of subsequent monetary policy. If the speech releases a more hawkish/anti-loosening signal, the market will see broad-based declines across the board; even if the tone is dovish, prices will likely spike temporarily and then quickly retreat.
With the two key messages landing back-to-back, the market tonight is bound to enter a choppy session with long wicks and large up-and-down swings. Overweighting a bet on a single-direction move makes it easy to suffer losses in both directions.
Don’t blindly go long just based on expectations of cooling in the market. The resilience of core inflation, combined with the uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s remarks, will leave data with no fixed patterns—no consistent patterns before and after. A prudent approach is to reduce position size, stay on the sidelines, wait until all the data fully lands, and then act when timing is right—do not risk trading your positions to gamble on short-term market luck #PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购