July 14 evening strategy plan priority order

Tonight’s important news: the U.S. CPI will be released at 8:30 tonight. Watch for accelerating volatility.

Operation priority ranking
Priority 1: After breaking 1803, pull back to go long
This is the steadiest trend-following long strategy for the evening.
Don’t full-position chase long at 1796—1798; it’s best to wait for a valid break of 1803, then pull back for confirmation.
Long conditions
The 15m candlestick closes above 1803, and the pullback of 1798—1803 does not break.
Entry location
Steady long: 1799—1803
Aggressive long: after a break of 1803.5, lightly chase long
Stop loss
Below 1791.5
If you want it tighter: below 1794, but it’s easier to get swept 100x.
Take profit
First take profit: 1810—1813
Second take profit: 1818—1822
Third take profit: 1835
Extreme strong target: 1842—1845
Logic
The current short-term structure is already leaning strong. As long as there’s a breakout with volume over 1798—1803, it means the intraday high has been taken, likely triggering chasing longs and short stop-outs, and price may quickly move to 1810—1822.

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Priority 2: If it spikes into 1798—1803 but fails, short on the high
If price climbs to 1798—1803 but cannot hold, and on the 5m or 15m there is a long upper wick and volume with a stall, then you can take a short.
Short zones
Aggressive short: 1798—1801
Steady short: after failing to hold pressure at 1802—1805
Stop loss
Above 1808.5
If it strongly holds above 1808, don’t hold the short.
Take profit
First take profit: 1792
Second take profit: 1786—1788
Third take profit: 1780—1782
Extreme weak target: 1773—1775
Logic
1798 is near the 24H high. The first attempt to hit the high often runs into profit-taking. If it cannot hold above 1803, that indicates the breakout failed, and the short-term will first pull back toward the moving average support.

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Priority 3: Pull back and hold 1786—1788, then go long
If price first falls, don’t rush to chase shorts; focus on whether 1786—1788 can hold.
Long zones
1786—1788
Confirmation conditions
A止跌阳line appears on the 5m;
or it spikes/pins near 1786 and quickly closes back above 1788;
or the 15m close does not break 1786.
Stop loss
Below 1779.5
Take profit
First take profit: 1795—1798
Second take profit: 1803
Third take profit: 1810—1813
Logic
1786—1788 is short-term moving average support, and also the area where prior ranging pressure turned into support. As long as it’s held, the evening will still lean toward a bullish range.

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Priority 4: After breaking 1780, short on the retest
If it breaks 1780—1782, it means the evening rebound structure is broken and the short-term turns weak again.
Short trigger
On the 15m, if it breaks below 1780 and the retest 1780—1783 cannot go back above, then short.
Entry
Retest short at 1780—1783
Stop loss
Above 1788.5
Take profit
First take profit: 1773—1775
Second take profit: 1760—1763
Third take profit: 1750—1747
Logic
1780 is the current evening bulls’ defense line. After it breaks, it means the rebound structure pulled up from 1746 has started to go bad, making it easier to revisit support below.
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