Tonight, focus closely on two key events: CPI inflation data and the Wells hearing. The market’s direction is entirely driven by the news.

If the inflation data comes in hotter and the remarks are more hawkish, the market will likely face pressure and move lower; on rebounds, prioritize positioning short orders.
If inflation cools and the remarks are more moderate, the market may enter a corrective upswing; rely on support to open long positions.

For a simple breakdown, the data falls into three scenarios:
Inflation is above expectations, rate-hike expectations heat up—look to short on rallies;
Inflation meets expectations, the market falls into range-bound consolidation—stay lightly positioned for short-term trading;
Inflation is below expectations, policy expectations ease—pull back to support and follow up with long orders.

Jinglu believes the bearish trend in the larger cycle has not changed
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