$BTC Double major shock alert hits tonight—everyone, whatever you do, don’t over-allocate and “hold to death”!


At 20:30 US June CPI will be released first. Don’t be fooled by the cooling in overall inflation expectations—core inflation has a hidden risk of bouncing back. This pullback is likely just an “inflation fake fall” caused by an oil price short-term drop; it doesn’t really mean inflation has fully returned lower.

Next at 22:00, the US Federal Reserve will take the stage for the Washington hearing. A few lines can directly rewrite the policy direction for the outlook. A hawkish tone could trigger a broad sell-off across the board, while a dovish tone may still spike higher in the short term but is also very likely to quickly drop back.

Two major data releases hit in succession—tonight’s market action with price probes and violent volatility is inevitable. Anyone betting on a single direction with heavy positioning is very likely to get harvested both long and short!
Don’t blindly chase longs just because inflation is expected to be lower. Core inflation is stubborn + the Fed’s remarks carry enormous uncertainty. There’s no fixed direction for the market before and after the data—staying light and waiting to act until after the results land is the way to survive. Don’t risk your position on luck for a moment!
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