Tonight, after the CPI lands, the debate over BTC’s $60k level: is it a “meat grinder” or a “golden pit”?

Tonight, after the CPI lands, the debate over BTC’s $60k level: after CPI lands, will BTC be a “meat grinder” or a “golden pit”?
The possibility of breaking below the $60k mark: it’s a “cover-up cloth,” and also a “liquidity pool.”
Many people treat 60k as a sacred and unbreakable bottom—don’t daydream. $60k right now is the core of a “meat grinder” setup.
Probability of breaking: if CPI goes sideways (Scenario A) tonight, combined with Waller’s hawkish remarks, the probability of breaking below $60k is absolutely not low. $60,000 isn’t just a psychological level—it’s the last “cover-up cloth” for the bulls. Once it’s lost, panic sentiment will be amplified further.
What to do after breaking: remember what I said before—if $60,000 breaks, I actually won’t be too pessimistic. The biggest feature of the market right now isn’t that nobody is buying, but that nobody dares to buy first. Below $60,000 is the “liquidity pool” of big whales and long-term institutions. Once the negative news truly lands, many funds will start looking for opportunities instead. Breaking below $60,000 isn’t telling you to cut loss—it’s telling you to pick up “bloodied chips.”
3. The possibility of a rise and point-based judgment (based on the current market-wide level 62572)
Right now the broader market is stuck at 62572. At this level it’s not high, not low—it’s awkward. If tonight’s data is a positive surprise (Scenario B), how big is the chance of an upside move? How many points can it rise?
Upward resistance: to the upside, 63,000 is the first hurdle (a dense zone of trapped longs); 65,000 is the gate of hell (pressure from prior highs).
Point judgment: starting from 62,572, if the data comes in below expectations, the first target for the bulls’ counterattack is the 64,500-65,000 zone. That means the upside room is roughly about 2,000-2,500 points.
Veteran warning: don’t treat a rebound as a reversal! Until the “sword of Damocles” of a September rate hike is taken away, any rise is “dancing with shackles.” Want to see a real reversal? Only if ETF inflows keep flowing back in continuously, and the price can rise with volume and hold above 65,000. Otherwise, the current push higher is very likely just to lure longs.
This isn’t the time to bet on a one-way breakout. As long as the $60,000 level hasn’t broken, don’t rush to call for “the bull is back.” If the data hasn’t gone bad, don’t rush to call for “the bear is coming.”
$BTC #沃什听证会撞上CPI