A bearish-biased trade plan with a clear invalidation level.

$UAI ‌#WarshTestimonyMeetsCPI
Key Observation: Price is up +10.44% but is rejecting the Bollinger Middle Band (0.36568) and trading below the SuperTrend (0.38385). The MACD is negative (-0.00163) and bearish, while OBV is declining below its MA, signaling weak buying volume.

Trade Setup: Range Resistance Rejection

· Bias: Bearish short-term reversal from resistance.
· Trigger: A 15m or 1h close below the AVL at 0.35929 confirms weakness.

Plan A: Breakdown Entry (Aggressive)

· Entry: 0.35800 (Sell stop below AVL and recent pivot).
· Stop Loss: 0.36600 (Above the 24h high and Bollinger Middle; ~2.2% risk).
· Take Profit 1: 0.34000 (Mid-range; ~5.0% gain).
· Take Profit 2: 0.31722 (24h low/support; ~11.4% gain).

Plan B: Rejection Entry (Conservative)

· Entry: 0.36350 (Sell limit on a retest of resistance near the Ask/Bollinger Middle).
· Stop Loss: 0.36750 (Above 24h high; ~1.1% risk).
· Take Profit 1: 0.34000.
· Take Profit 2: 0.31722.

Risk Management & Key Levels

· Risk per trade: 1-2% of portfolio.
· Position Size: Calculate based on stop loss (~2.2% for Plan A, ~1.1% for Plan B) to keep dollar risk fixed.
· Invalidation: A close above 0.36750 invalidates the bearish setup—consider a long breakout instead.
· Volume Confirmation: Need VOL > 80K (above MA10) on the breakdown candle for conviction.

Summary

Sell on weakness below 0.35929 or on a rejection near 0.3635. Target the 24h low at 0.3172. Move stop to breakeven after TP1 is hit.

Tip: Low 24h turnover (171K USDT) means slippage risk—use limit orders and avoid large market entries.