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๐๐ฃ๐ ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐. ๐ช๐ฎ๐ฟ๐๐ต ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ. ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ธ๐ฒ๐๐ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐ช๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ ๐ ๐ถ๐ป๐๐๐ฒ.
This week's biggest macro event comes down to a 90-minute window. The June CPI report will be released just before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first congressional testimony.
Markets are split on the Fed's next move. Cooling energy prices support a wait-and-see approach, while sticky inflation could keep another rate hike on the table. Swaps still price in around 32 bps of tightening by year-end, while prediction markets estimate roughly a 54% chance of another hike.
If CPI comes in softer and Warsh strikes a dovish tone, risk assets like crypto could benefit. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading combined with hawkish comments may strengthen the U.S. dollar, lift Treasury yields, and pressure both equities and digital assets.
First comes the inflation data. Then comes the Fed's reaction. Together, they'll likely set the market's next direction.
#WarshTestimonyMeetsCPI
This week's biggest macro event comes down to a 90-minute window. The June CPI report will be released just before Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivers his first congressional testimony.
Markets are split on the Fed's next move. Cooling energy prices support a wait-and-see approach, while sticky inflation could keep another rate hike on the table. Swaps still price in around 32 bps of tightening by year-end, while prediction markets estimate roughly a 54% chance of another hike.
If CPI comes in softer and Warsh strikes a dovish tone, risk assets like crypto could benefit. A hotter-than-expected inflation reading combined with hawkish comments may strengthen the U.S. dollar, lift Treasury yields, and pressure both equities and digital assets.
First comes the inflation data. Then comes the Fed's reaction. Together, they'll likely set the market's next direction.
#WarshTestimonyMeetsCPI