Is a second BTC bottom about to form? The Middle East conflict keeps flaring and pulling back—combined with tonight’s major CPI data release, this article will clearly map out the next direction for both bulls and bears, and shares a complete trading strategy for today.

Geopolitical conditions continue to swing back and forth, with related statements constantly wavering, leaving market sentiment oscillating. Many people should have noticed one abnormal signal: last night, the AI sector saw a sharp plunge, and with the intensification of the US-Iran conflict, the price action failed to follow through and collapse. It stubbornly held up against selling pressure.

With the current market in a stalemate, there are essentially three possibilities behind it: funds are collectively standing by and waiting for the evening inflation data to land; the main players are quietly absorbing positions, reinforcing bottom support; or else a fake pump is underway to lure retail traders into chasing longs, building up energy to complete the final deep selloff at the very end of the bear market.

Market expectations have already been completely flipped. Earlier in the year, the market was still pricing in easing and rate cuts; now it has turned around to price in rate-hike expectations. This is enough to prove that the risk from U.S. inflation has not been fully eliminated. As for claims that a full-blown bull market is coming—those are nothing but empty words.

In this choppy, foggy market, never enter trades blindly. Wait patiently for key price levels before stepping in, set take-profit and stop-loss strictly, and only trade short-term swings. Trading is about unity of knowledge and action: if you’re wrong on direction, exit in time; if price action matches your prediction, take enough profit.

BTC short entry reference: around 62,900–63,400
Staggered take-profit targets: 61,888, 61,288

The market is swinging violently due to data and geopolitical news—make sure to trade with a light position size and control risk.

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