🔥 Circle is aggressively minting USDC on Solana, but the stablecoin battleground has changed


This morning, Circle again increased its issuance on Solana by 750 million USDC tokens; so far this year, its cumulative minting has exceeded 68 billion USDC. But at the same time, USDC’s total circulating market cap has already shrunk by about $7 billion since March, to around $74 billion. Minting and market-cap contraction occurring at the same time suggests capital is circulating rapidly within the Solana ecosystem rather than flowing net into the broader crypto market.
More importantly, the competitive landscape is changing. Mizuho’s latest report says bluntly that even if Circle obtains an OCC trust bank license, the fundamentals won’t change—USDC’s growth momentum is slowing, while OUSD, a compliant stablecoin jointly launched by more than 140 institutions including Mastercard, Stripe, and Coinbase, is taking market share. The stablecoin track is shifting from a “single pole” to a “coalition,” and Circle’s moat is getting narrower.
For traders, Circle’s continued USDC minting on Solana means on-chain liquidity remains abundant, but capital is more inclined to rotate among DeFi, Meme, and tokenized assets rather than pushing up BTC/ETH prices. Although the total stablecoin supply has resumed growth (up 121 million last week), perpetual futures trading volume continues to slow down, and leverage demand is cooling.
Downside risk: If the US CPI on Tuesday comes in hotter than expected and Waller’s rate-hike remarks land, the stablecoin market could face redemption pressure, and USDC’s shrinking trend would accelerate. Circle’s banking license is a long-term positive, but in the short term it cannot offset macro headwinds.
$sol #usdc #btc #eth #defi
CRCL0.25%
SOL2.69%
USDC-0.03%
MA0.07%
COIN2.62%
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