July 14 strategy plan priority order fan-only

Operation priority ranking
Priority 1: 1778—1782 no break, sell short on the rebound
This is what I think is the best intraday trade today.
Short zone: 1778—1782
Aggressive: 1777.5—1780 short in batches
Conservative: get pressured near 1782 after a push up; short again when 5m/15m close bearish
Stop loss: above 1788.8
If there is a strong breakout of 1788, and it holds above 1792, the short setup logic fails.
Take profits:
First take profit: 1770
Second take profit: 1763
Third take profit: 1755
Extreme weak target: 1747
Logic:
Current 1H is still below EMA50; 1787—1792 is the key resistance. If 1778—1782 cannot break through, it means the rebound is only a repair, and it still suits trading with the larger structure leaning bearish.

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Priority 2: after breaking 1782, pullback to go long
If price breaks 1782 decisively, don’t chase immediately—wait for the pullback.
Long trigger: 15m closes above 1782, then pullback 1776—1780 without breaking
Ideal entry: around 1778
Aggressive entry: after the 1782 breakout, lightly chase with higher risk
Stop loss: below 1771.5
If it drops back below 1770, that indicates a false breakout.
Take profits:
First take profit: 1787
Second take profit: 1792
Third take profit: 1803—1808
Logic:
Above 1782, the short-term structure turns stronger. The targets first look toward the 1H EMA50 area, i.e., 1787—1792.

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Priority 3: buy the rebound near 1760—1763
If it drops first, don’t chase shorts—wait for support reaction.
Long zone: 1760—1763
Confirmation: 5m shows a long lower wick, volume-backed rebound, or after breaking down, quickly reclaim above 1760.
Stop loss: below 1754.5
More conservative stop loss: below 1751
Take profits:
First take profit: 1770
Second take profit: 1778
Third take profit: 1787
Logic:
1760—1763 is a short-term high-volume trading dense area and the rebound starting point. If it doesn’t break, there is value in a rebound retest. But this is a contrarian rebound long; it’s not as good as shorting at higher levels and keeping it more stable.

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Priority 4: after breaking below 1754, short on the rebound
If ETH breaks below 1754—1756, it indicates the rebound fails and weakness accelerates.
Short trigger: 15m breaks below 1754.5, and the rebound to 1755—1758 cannot hold—then short
Stop loss: above 1762
Take profits:
First take profit: 1747
Second take profit: 1738
Third take profit: 1728
Logic:
1754 is short-term bulls’ defense line. Once it breaks, it’s easy to retest the 24H low at 1746.79, and there may even be further selling.

$ETH ‌