https://www.gate.com/profile/baron?ref=VLUXV1XCUQ&ref_type=105

Important chart for Bitcoin

The chart compares the current cycle to previous cycles on the basis of a cycle lasting about 4 years, and there is indeed similarity in the order of stages: accumulation, then a rise, then distribution, and then a bear market.

The main similarities are that the peaks in previous cycles came after a long uptrend wave, and then the price entered gradual weakness before the bigger drop. The current cycle, according to the chart, has reached the same time window approximately, so the top is set between October 12 and October 16, 2025, then a possible bottom between October 6 and October 16, 2026.

However, there are important differences. The current cycle is less explosive than 2013 and 2017; the move is longer and wider; and there is institutional involvement, an ETF, and greater derivatives liquidity, which could change the timing of the top and the depth of the sell-off. The similarity here is more temporal and structural than a perfect match of price.

The chart supports that we have entered the late part of the cycle, but the October dates are favored as estimated time windows, not confirmed dates.

What do you think about the end of the bear market next October?
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