A 50-50 chance. With the window period now down to less than a month, whether CLARITY can be made to happen will hinge on this round of Senate power plays and maneuvering.

CoinJie.com news, Crypto Regulation 2026 reports that the CLARITY Act is entering a week described as its most important stage. The U.S. Senate will reconvene on July 13, and lawmakers face a narrow window to advance this landmark crypto market structure bill before Congress adjourns on August 7. Investor Kevin O’Leary says the odds of the CLARITY Act becoming law this year are 50-50, but he warns that geopolitical tensions may slow progress. Despite the uncertainty, O’Leary emphasizes that pushing for the passage of the CLARITY Act is becoming increasingly important to the U.S. financial system. He explains that his firm has already started using USDC for cross-border payments, and countries such as Switzerland, France, Denmark, and Finland are accepting this stablecoin for compliant transactions.