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Good evening, everyone! Market analysis! Thank you all for your support!
Jin10 Data July 14—On Monday, Federal Reserve Governor Waller said that when looking at the inflation data released this week, he would give more weight to the message conveyed by another high-inflation reading than he would to facing a lower inflation print. Waller said, “We’ve basically, for almost five to six months now, been seeing inflation readings ‘higher, higher, higher, higher.’” He also said, “If we see higher numbers again, I’ll treat it as a signal, not noise. But if the inflation data comes in lower, given that we’ve had high inflation for five or six months already, I might need another one or two months of data to be able to say, ‘Okay, that really is a signal.’”
AI interpretation: The sharp fluctuations in the market’s rate-hike expectations reflect an extreme sensitivity to the Fed’s policy path. This probability level directly pushes up near-term borrowing costs and places significant pressure on risk assets. Investors are re-assessing where the end of the tightening cycle will be, and market liquidity faces mounting tightening pressure. This shift in expectations forces traders to quickly adjust their positions to deal with the reality that monetary policy may remain restrictive for longer.
U.S. President Trump urged Congress to pass the Bitcoin Clarity Act immediately, saying that China is seeking full control over cryptocurrencies and that the U.S. should win in the BTC space.