The position I was watching earlier finally gave an answer today. This $NES move isn’t a sudden drop—long before it started ranging sideways at the high level without rising, I already felt something was off here.

After shorting at 0.2591, the key was that the rebound didn’t keep going. Every time the price tried to push higher, it got pressed back down—showing that the supply above is loose. A lot of people were still hesitating about whether to take a long, and then the chart simply headed straight down. Now it’s at 0.2399, and the return has reached +147.42% with a clearly extended move.

The most comfortable part of a trade like this isn’t smashing it all at once, but keeping the rhythm in the hands of the shorts. Once the profit is out, I won’t stubbornly cling to fantasies. I’ll do an 80/20 split and manage it in batches first; then the remaining position will be paired with a protection level to see whether we can continue to expand the space for volatility.

If you missed it, there’s no need to slap your thigh in regret. Don’t chase the order. The next time, it’s safer to wait for pressure to build and confirmation before you take action.

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