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7.13 Monday midday market analysis.
BTC saw a sudden liquidity hunt at the start of the day; after the spike at 64425 was rejected, it began to pull back. Because ETH/BTC is strengthening, BTC’s spike was amplified by ETH. This signal is also the BTC upside spike on the 4-hour chart mentioned last week that formed a long upper wick, which is a good opportunity to add to a short position. On the 4-hour timeframe, BTC has already broken below the short-term key level in the 63,700 area. Downside, the important support is around 61,500—watch that support strength.
Note: This week, you still need to focus on the intensity of the U.S.-Iran conflict, BlackRock Bitcoin ETF fund inflows/outflows, and MicroStrategy’s stock price trend. These external factors remain important sources of interference for the crypto market’s走势.
BTC trading advice: Short around 63,300-64,000; stop loss 65,500; take profit 62,800-61,500.
ETH: Short around 1,800-1,820; stop loss 1,860; take profit 1,770-1,740