#伊朗宣布關閉霍爾木茲海峽

BTC plunged 0.61% in the 15-minute window. The key driver was a rapid escalation in the US-Iran military conflict— the US military launched a new round of airstrikes on Iran, after which Iran immediately fired missiles and drones at multiple Gulf countries. Geopolitical risk spiked, driving oil-price volatility and warming inflation expectations; the probability of the Federal Reserve raising rates twice before year-end rose to 52.1%, while the US dollar index strengthened. BTC failed to show a safe-haven attribute—instead, it fell alongside risk assets. Order book buy-sell depth ratio was only 0.24 (sell-side was notably dominant), and at $63,014 there is a large sell-wall, forming short-term resistance. Currently, BTC is trading at $62,954, down about 1.71% over the past 24 hours; the Fear index for the whole market is 30. The short-term bearish-dominant pattern remains.