Hormuz is in crisis! Can it still be chased after $CL 74?

Brothers, Iran announced the Strait of Hormuz will be “closed indefinitely,” and the U.S. military has launched four strikes on Iran within a week. WTI crude oil jumped more than 3% on the spot.
News flow:
Iran claims the strait is closed until the U.S. stops its interference, while the U.S. Central Command says the waterway is still open to merchant vessels and is prepared to ensure freedom of navigation. Both sides have their own stories, and the geopolitical premium is back in force. But Iran has urgently arranged the export of about 11 million barrels of crude oil, suggesting it may be preparing for a long-term standoff.
Technicals:
The price has already broken above the BOLL upper band, and the short-term trend is bullish.
Resistance levels: 75-76, with strong resistance at 77
Support levels: 73.3-73.7; if it breaks, look at 72.5
Public opinion:
Geopolitical conflict provides short-term support, but the “closing the strait” narrative is mostly talk—actual supply disruption appears limited. Chasing at higher prices carries significant risk; waiting for a pullback is more stable.
Trading strategy:
Conservative: wait for a pullback to 73.3-73.7 and go long
Aggressive: go long near 74 at the current price
‍#加密市场回升 #美伊战争阴云再起