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Predictfun has no real market to list anymore—hurry up and add some new ones.
I took a look this morning at Predict: the Polymarket FDV market has dropped more than ten points across the board. I saw a lot of big players dumping the order book, and even points haven’t been activated.
What happened?
I also received a few orders. Luckily, I didn’t post too much on each one, otherwise I’d be crying to death.
As most random World Cup events have wrapped up, there’s basically nothing to list anymore. The pre-market that was once very friendly to retail traders also isn’t something people dare to post anymore.
Low scores are one side of it. If it could at least stay stable, you could still list. But those events with settlement cycles that used to be long—now the probabilities are totally unstable too.
Maybe it’s because liquidity is too low now, which makes it easier to manipulate probabilities. And because the settlement events are long, even if you know the odds are mispriced, you still can’t do anything. After all, if retail traders happen to receive the orders, they don’t have that much idle capital sitting around waiting for the probabilities to revert to normal. They often can only cut losses and exit.
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Family, what markets are you all listing now? Recommend them to me. I used to occasionally list crypto for daily trades, and for a choppy market, the intraday market was still pretty comfortable to do. Today I look and the intraday market is gone—crying to death 😂. You want me to list the time-based market—5-minute markets? That’s absolutely not something I’d dare do. That’s pure gambling.
@predictdotfun Hurry up and add more new markets, and also please solve the current liquidity problem. With the World Cup wrapping up, liquidity has dropped a lot, and many markets don’t dare to post anymore. Retail traders are getting harder and harder.
#predictionmarket