AI stock god Serenity warns: companies on the level of trillions of dollars are targeted by a new type of “short-selling strike,” with Nvidia and TSMC taking the brunt first

“White-haired stock god” Serenity pointed out that the market is seeing a new form of “short-selling playbook” targeting companies worth in the trillion-dollar range—by exaggerating technical details to claim that the entire supply chain has stalled, with Nvidia and TSM at the top of the list.

（Background recap: “White-haired stock god” Serenity: OpenAI and Amazon’s new network architecture “will not weaken demand for optical modules”） （Background addition: AI stock god Serenity: The AI bubble won’t burst this year! Tech giants’ capital expenditures will go on a rampage through 2028）

AI stock god Serenity said on the X platform that a new type of “short-selling playbook” is emerging in the market, targeting companies worth in the trillion-dollar range. Taking Nvidia ($NVDA) and TSM ($TSM) as examples, some analysts and retail investors do this by first zeroing in on individual technical details or specific supply-chain links, then claiming that the entire production pipeline has already come to a halt.

How the short-selling playbook works

Serenity broke down how this playbook works:

• Step 1: Find details—first identify a small change in a technical specification or in the supply chain
• Step 2: Magnify—inflate the single detail and claim the whole project timeline is being blocked
• Step 3: Silent cost—if the company does not respond, the stock price and market sentiment both slide
• Step 4: Response cost—if the company comes out to explain, supply-chain information that touches on trade secrets often cannot be disclosed in full, and doubts keep coming

The key to this strategy is “winning isn’t hard, and even if you’re wrong you don’t really lose.” Once analysts throw out a claim, they can get exposure on social media, and then later repeatedly run the same play by citing more cases. Serenity says more and more people are copying this playbook, especially creators who manufacture controversy by following incentive structures.

Why this observation is worth noting

Nvidia and TSM are core players in AI chips and advanced manufacturing, respectively, and both have already surpassed the one-trillion-dollar market cap mark. When “short-selling” is no longer based on comprehensive fundamentals and instead relies on extracting localized details to manufacture attention, the quality of market price discovery declines.

For retail investors in Taiwan, TSM (TWSE:2330) is more directly tied to the Taiwan stock market index. If the short-selling playbook keeps spreading, TSM’s stock price swings may no longer reflect actual operating performance, but instead be driven by “detail magnification” on social media.