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🔥 Michael Saylor’s mysterious chart and Strategy’s Bitcoin dilemma
Michael Saylor posted another chart. This time, the caption reads “the orange dots tell only part of the story,” followed by a screenshot of a Bitcoin Tracker. As usual, Strategy will disclose another round of additional purchases tomorrow. But what the market cares about more is another number: Strategy holds 843,775 BTC, with an average cost of $75,476, while Bitcoin is now at $64,000, with an unrealized loss of about $9.7 billion.
Standard Chartered Bank called it out directly today: Saylor needs to clearly communicate the message to investors about Bitcoin’s “turn.” The so-called “turn” refers to Strategy starting to sell small amounts of Bitcoin recently, while issuing convertible bonds to raise financing—this kind of move is called capital efficiency in a bull market, but in a bear market it can easily be interpreted as liquidity pressure. Saylor’s “part of the story” implies there’s more to come, but the market has run out of patience to guess the riddle.
Stablecoin shrank by $7.7 billion in June; ETF inflows are not enough to confirm a trend reversal, and the funding rate has returned to bearishness. With these signals stacking up, Strategy’s unrealized loss is no longer just a book number—it will affect market confidence in “Bitcoin’s biggest bull.” If the scale of additional purchases Saylor discloses tomorrow is below expectations, or if he continues to sell BTC, that would be the real signal.
Bitcoin has been consolidating for 307 days, and the cost basis of $70,700 for short-term holders remains a resistance level. Saylor’s charts can support sentiment, but they can’t hold up prices.
$btc #defi #Stablecoin #etf # on-chain data