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Gold weekly preview: V-shaped rebound, keep an eye on 4133
Macro: The Fed is leaning hawkish; US Treasuries and the dollar are strengthening. ETF outflows are continuing, and gold’s overall downside pressure hasn’t changed.
Technical: A double bottom at 4021 triggered a rebound; the current level is 4119. The key resistance above is 4133—if it breaks, look toward 4202. Support below is 4063-4021. MACD has a bullish crossover, but the rebound is approaching the pressure zone.
Trading: Take a light short position at 4120-4140, targeting 4100 and 4050, with a stop loss above 4155. If the price retraces to 4060 without breaking, a quick long may be taken—move fast and exit fast.
Summary: Next week is likely to trade in a range of 4060-4130. Before a breakout, sell high and buy low around the range is fine—don’t chase rallies or panic-sell.