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Weekend Topic Roundup + A Concise View on Tomorrow’s Trading Plan
East data to the west / data centers, commercial aerospace / satellite navigation, oil and gas extraction services, storage chips / semiconductors, traditional Chinese medicine, film and television cinema chains
Watch the opening call auction tomorrow to set the mood.
1、Commercial aerospace / satellite navigation: On Friday afternoon, quant models violently drove a rally, and the short-term climax accelerated. Tomorrow, if the bid and the opening price are not up to expectations, funds are likely to concentrate and realize profits quickly. Do not chase after higher prices or accelerate with follow-through stocks—just observe and do not take the first move.
2、Big tech chain (computing power + storage + semiconductors): The market repaired on Thursday, then saw collective major divergence on Friday. The key game involves a possible return of the行情. For your held stocks, don’t blindly cut losses; use the call auction and opening to judge if there is follow-through as the signal, and wait for the divergence to turn into consistency again for a buy-the-dip opportunity.
3、Traditional Chinese medicine & pharmaceuticals: They are the funds’ counterpart to big tech. If tech shows strong intraday backflow, pharma will most likely see weaker divergence. Then reverse arbitrage is enough.
4、Oil & gas, power, and film and television cinema chains: These are rotation-arbitrage secondary lines. Trade according to the sector’s strength, and never chase higher.
Unified operating principle: Avoid climax-accelerated targets; only do backflow opportunities after sufficient divergence. First check the call-auction feedback at the open before acting.
** Market-wide reminder: Since July 2, the overall market sentiment has stayed weak. The big-tech sector has been in a full-on sell-off/decline cycle the whole time, with insufficient repair strength, and every theme’s rotation has extremely poor continuity. At this stage, you must strictly control position sizing; if the trend is too blurry to understand, stay in cash and observe—never overweight and bet on the game.**
II. Quantitative analysis of short-term data & sentiment:
From the market data, Friday versus Thursday shows marginal improvement: the number of limit-up stocks increased, and the number of limit-down stocks decreased. But the board-closure rate was only 49%, and the willingness of funds to hold the board was weak. The market’s highest board that day was only 2 boards, and short-term carryover momentum is in a dead-cold zone.** Based on historical short-term patterns: when the board-closure rate is below 50%, the next day’s market usually brings a decent round of repair. In a dead-cold environment, the premium for upgrade boards that come out the next day is generally considerable. Tomorrow, focus on the related stocks for 2-to-3.**
** For the specific execution strategy, everyone should pay attention to a short pre-market recap tomorrow morning; I will update it in the pinned comment section of this post.**
【Warm reminder】: Personal views only, for reference purposes only, and do not constitute investment advice. If you don’t like it, don’t flame. The individual stocks mentioned in the text are all from my own post-recap and sorting, not buy/sell recommendations. If this article helps you, or gives you a moment of inspiration, please do a one-click four-likes: like, follow, reward, and recommend. Every bit of recognition is the motivation for me to continue recapping and keeping output—thanks from the bottom of my heart. For today’s post, if you have conditions, you can give the author some encouragement coupons; seven cards can make the post become a featured quality post.