#世界杯冠军预测 The four semifinal spots are locked in! Freshly released latest World Cup title odds: France leads with 33.81%, Spain second with 24.16%, and Argentina at the bottom

All four semifinalists are confirmed. France, Spain, England, and Argentina—none of the top four teams in the world rankings slipped.
From a group-stage full of upsets to the return of order in the knockout rounds. As this World Cup runs to the end, it ultimately goes back to the old way of letting strength speak. The latest title odds have been updated accordingly.
France 33.81%, first place. The reasons are solid. They reached the finals in two consecutive World Cups—these players are too familiar with the rhythm of big-game moments. The front line pairing of Mbappé and Dembélé maximizes attacking pressure, while the interception coverage from the midfield duo of Tchouaméni and Camavinga is also wide enough. More importantly, France is the only team among the four that hasn’t played extra time. All three knockout matches were decided within 90 minutes—saving stamina is an extravagance.
Spain 24.16%, ranked second. The status of defending European champions gives this team plenty of confidence. They also have the best defense among the four; they’ve conceded just one goal so far. Rodri anchors the holding midfield, and the possession-control system of Pedri and Gavi has been refined for more than two years. In the semifinal against France, the battle for possession should be very interesting. Spain needs to prove that possession-based football still has life in cup competitions.
England 21.97%, third. All three knockout matches were decided by one-goal margins, with two of them even coming from comebacks. Tuchel’s team has shown resilience, but the attacking firepower on the front line indeed isn’t consistent enough. The good news is that England’s squad depth is too strong to ignore: Kane and Bellingham each have 6 goals, and the dual-core drive model makes it hard for opponents to set up targeted counters. Facing Argentina in the semifinal will be a real test.
Argentina 20.06%, bottom. The defending champions’ path has been too full of obstacles. Against Egypt, they pulled off a narrow reverse 3-2, and against Switzerland they fought on for 120 minutes. In three knockout matches, two went to extra time; the average age of their starters is over 30, and stamina concerns are clearly visible. Messi’s passing and scoring records keep being refreshed, but in the end, football is still a sport played by 11 people. Argentina made it to the semifinals thanks to experience and pedigree, but once they reach the semis, every minute has to be run out by pure legs.
The semifinal matchups are intriguing: France vs Spain, and England vs Argentina. Three European teams circling one South American team—this script isn’t unfamiliar. From probability to strength, from stamina to lineup, France and Spain do look like they have the initiative. Especially France: the fact that they don’t have to play extra time may matter more in the late-season cup matches than any tactic.
If France gets past Spain, winning the title becomes a highly likely scenario. Of course, the most fascinating part of football is this—probabilities are always just probabilities.