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This time I care more about the rhythm, not guessing the direction. When $RAVE rebounded before, many people thought it was going to strengthen again, but what I saw was that pressure at the high level was becoming increasingly obvious. After the price was pushed up, there was no follow-through.
At the time, I focused on the 0.4506 area: as long as it couldn’t hold, the shorts would have room to operate. After I entered, the market didn’t chop around for too long—it started releasing to the downside directly. Now it’s at 0.2607, with a return of +1032.35%. This leg has extended clearly, and the position experience has been fairly clean.
In trading, the biggest fear is getting pulled along by a surface-level lift. The real changes usually hide after a rebound fails. Here, the structure has clearly changed: the buy side isn’t proactive, and once sell pressure shows up, it smashes through key levels—indicating that the longs have started to become passive.
Now that the profit is already in, I’ll handle part of it first on an 80/20 basis, and the rest I’ll keep tracking with protection levels, so a good trade doesn’t turn into a normal one. If you haven’t entered, don’t rush—don’t chase after the drop. Wait for the next more comfortable entry point.
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