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The World Cup final four are set: France is temporarily the favorite to win with a 39% probability
BlockBeats message, July 12, as all four semi-finalists of the 2026 US-Canada-Mexico World Cup are finalized, the latest champion prediction market on the prediction market platform Predict.fun is updated at the same time. As of the time of writing, the market gives Argentina a championship probability of about 20%, France 39%, Spain 19%, and England 20%. Traders overall are more optimistic that France will ultimately lift the trophy.
The four teams in this World Cup are Argentina, France, Spain, and England. All four are traditional powerhouses in world football. Among them, Argentina and France are expected to continue their strong performances from the past two World Cups. Spain advanced all the way thanks to its young squad, while England returned to the semi-finals led by key players such as Kane and Bellingham. As the tournament enters the semi-final stage, trading activity on the prediction market regarding the championship continues to rise, and each team’s championship probability is adjusted in real time as the matches progress.