Latest market updates for July 12, 2026: Today’s Bitcoin (BTC) news flow is mainly driven by a combination of spot ETF fund flow reversal, whale accumulation against the trend, and macro policy game dynamics. Below is a summary of the key messages curated for you:

1. Market Pulse: Price steadies and rebounds, while sentiment remains in the fear zone

Bitcoin’s price has recently been stable and slightly bullish, currently hovering around $64,300. Although the price has risen from the late-June trough ($58,188) to above $63,787, the Fear and Greed Index still stays in the “extreme fear” range of 24 to 26, showing a clear divergence of “price up, sentiment not back,” and the market is still in a fragile bottoming phase13.

2. Liquidity: ETF outflow trend reverses, whales accumulate aggressively against the trend

Institutional and large-holder capital flows show a clear divergence and reversal:

ETF fund return: After Bitcoin spot ETFs saw roughly $8 billion in outflows over eight consecutive weeks, inflows have appeared over the past three trading days. Yesterday (July 10), the total net inflow for the day reached $90.44 million (with BlackRock’s IBIT leading). Analysts believe this suggests the market may have already approached the “capitulation stage,” and that institutional selling pressure is running out26.

Whale accumulation against the trend: Contrary to the outflows from some ETF funds, on-chain data shows that Bitcoin whales (addresses holding more than 1,000 BTC) net bought about 270k BTC over two weeks (worth about $16.7 billion). At the same time, exchange reserves have fallen to a multi-year low point, indicating that selling pressure is easing and coins are shifting from low-conviction holders to high-conviction investors 7/12祝兄弟姐妹们翻仓暴富多赚U：
BTC futures strategy market analysis：
1. Longs in range: go long 63,700–63,800; first take-profit 64,100; second take-profit 64,500; stop-loss 63,500;
2. Swing longs: go long 63,000–63,200; first take-profit 63,800; second take-profit 64,100; stop-loss 62,800;
3. Aggressive shorts: go short 64,100–64,150; first take-profit 63,700; second take-profit 63,000; stop-loss if price closes above 64,550;
4. Alternative shorts: go short 64,800–65,500; take-profit 60,000–58,000; stop-loss 66,500;
5. Extreme longs: go long near 57,800; take-profit 62,700; stop-loss 57,600;
Notes:
1. For all orders, reduce by 200 points for fees, lock breakeven, and continue holding!
2. The strategies above only represent personal views for reference only, not recommendations—profit or loss is your own responsibility!
All orders must strictly follow take-profit and stop-loss levels; no holding positions against the market—profit or loss is your own responsibility! #BTC行情预测 $BTC $BTC