Norway’s “goal machine” vs England’s “shots machine”—data shows who is more lethal

Brothers, look at a set of comparison data and you’ll know where the deciding factor of this match lies.

England’s shot attempts in this World Cup are far higher than Norway’s. They have more shots on target, higher expected goals, more clear-cut chances, and more passes inside the box. But Norway scored more goals. Why? Because of Haaland.

Haaland scored 7 goals with 18 shots. 12 shots on target, only 6 off target. His non-penalty expected goals reached 4.32, the highest among all players in this tournament. Norway also has the highest expected goals per shot in this tournament. They don’t create too many chances, but every chance is high quality— and these chances usually land at the feet of the most lethal finishers in the world.

Kane also used 19 shots to score 6 goals, with 10 shots on target. But among his goals are 2 penalties. All of Haaland’s 7 goals are open-play goals. Bellingham is England’s second-highest scorer (4 goals). Apart from Haaland, Norway has only 4 players who each scored 1 goal.

Sky Sports’ analysis hit the nail on the head: “England may create more attacking threats and spend more time in Norway’s penalty area. But if the match enters the ‘chance conversion’ phase, Haaland gives Norway a weapon that other players can’t match.” Brazil couldn’t stop Haaland and paid the price. England must learn from Brazil’s mistakes.

#预测世界杯挪威VS英格兰