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95% short-win rate, is $H /USDT on the 4-hour timeframe already locked?
$H /USDT - SHORT sell
Trading plan:
Entry: 0.06714 – 0.06768
SL: 0.06999
TP1: 0.06548
TP2: 0.06419
TP3: 0.06225
Why focus on this structure?
- 4-hour EMA bearish alignment, 1D trend clearly downward; RSI on 15m is only 42.22, rebounds are weak.
- ATR on 1h is only 0.001074; volatility is converging, which usually means an upcoming breakout acceleration.
- Current price is 0.06741. Place a sell order directly; TP1 at 0.06548 gives a risk-reward ratio of 1.8:1. Set SL at 0.06999 to guard against a false breakout.
Discussion:
Will this move straight to TP2 at 0.06419, or will it first fake out the shorts and then rebound? What do you think?