Someone found something pretty interesting. A Polymarket account registered less than a day ago directly placed heavy bets; in today’s Miami World Cup quarterfinal, both sides put down more than $184,000.

Here’s the address of that new wallet:
· Bet on England to win, odds 52%, placed more than $126,000; if it wins, it can get back more than $243,000
· Bet on Norway to win, odds 24%, placed more than $58,000; if it wins, it can get back more than $246,000

You can roughly work out the math:
If England wins, his England bet makes more than $117,000, but his Norway bet of $58,000 is lost—net profit of around $59,000.
If Norway wins, his Norway bet makes more than $187,000, and his England bet of $126,000 loses—net profit of about $61,000.
So basically, no matter who wins, this guy should be securing roughly $60k in profit.

In this Miami quarterfinal, England’s paper strength is stronger, but Norway’s side has Haaland in great form. In this tournament, he’s scored in every match, pushing toward the Golden Boot—so you also can’t underestimate them. The winner will then go to Atlanta for the semifinals, where the opponent will be either Argentina or Switzerland.

What do you think of this kind of play—if it were you, would you hedge like this?