2026.7.11 Price Movement Prediction and Position-Opening Strategy (for personal learning and post-trade review only)

Pullback to go long (prioritizing stability)

BTC: 639-636 stabilizes. A 15-minute close with a lower shadow and a stop-loss-confirming bullish candle. Stop loss: 632 (below the 1H lifeline; avoid wick sweeps that trigger stop-outs)
Take profit 1: 644 (reduce position) Take profit 2: 65300

ETH: 1797-1805 stabilizes. A 15-minute close with a lower-shadow bullish candle. Stop loss: 1773 (below the 4H MA60) Take profit: 1825 1833

Short-term high short (betting on a pullback, T-trade arbitrage)
BTC: If it rebounds to 644-646 and a long upper shadow appears again on the 15-minute chart, short. Stop loss: 647 (above the double top; prevents breakout)
Take profit: 642-639

ETH: If it rebounds to 1824-1828 and the 15-minute candle closes with a long upper shadow, open a new short with a light position. Stop loss: 1835 (above the double top; prevents a pin-prick breakout) Take profit: 1806 1798

---------------------- Golden Ratio Line ------------------------------

Long position strategy:

SanDisk: Pull back to 1920-1925 and stabilize. A 15-minute close with a stop-loss-confirming down-stopping bullish candle. Stop loss: 1785 (below the 4H lifeline; avoid deep washout) Take profit 1: 1980 reduce 60%; if it breaks above 1985, hold and look for 2040-2080.

Micron: Pull back to 950-953 and clearly stop falling, and the 4-hour chart closes with a large bullish candle. Stop loss: 875 (bottom support line; if broken, fully turn bearish) Take profit: around 985—exit all nearby; only do a bounce trade, not a long-term long position.

Short position strategy:

SanDisk: Rebound to 1980-1985 and becomes sluggish; long upper-shadow K-line. Stop loss: 1998 (above the double top; prevents a breakout with heavy volume) Take profit: 1930—close all positions; only for short-term arbitrage, not a long-term bearish view.

Micron: Rebound to 982-988 and becomes sluggish; on the 15-minute chart print a long upper-shadow bearish candle. Stop loss: 1008 (if the upper resistance level breaks, the trend reverses) Take profit 1: 955 Take profit 2: look at 930.