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4-hour bearish signal 95%, will BTC really fall below 63k?
$BTC /USDT - SHORT
Trading plan:
Entry: 64,068.36 – 64,170.90
SL: 64,611.81
TP1: 63,750.49
TP2: 63,504.40
TP3: 63,135.26
Why focus on this structure?
- The 1D trend is clearly a bear market; the 4h bearish signal strength is 95%, which is exceptionally rare historically.
- RSI on 15m is only 44.79; momentum hasn’t overbought, and downside room remains.
- Current price is 64,119.63; TP1=63,750, TP2=63,504; the risk-reward ratio is over 2:1.
- Why now? EMA bearish alignment + high-confidence trigger; the probability of a momentum-driven drop is extremely high.
Discussion:
Will this dump straight to TP2, or will it first rebound to lure longs before falling?