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Tomorrow morning there are two matches. Tonight I’ve got web3 friends lined up to keep discussing values education. After that, we’ll watch the World Cup quarterfinals! Argentina and England are both teams I like—watching back-to-back games is too good. Here’s a share of my predictions for the brothers. Feel free to discuss~
🇳🇴 Norway VS 🏴 England
Beijing time: July 12 05:00
📊 Qualification probability
🇳🇴 Norway: 40%
🏴 England: 60%
⚽ Personal score: Norway 1-2 England
📈 Most likely score by the model: 0-1 (12.9%)
⚠️ Dangerous scenario: 1-1, into extra time or a penalty shootout
Norway’s biggest threat is still Haaland. He may have few chances under high-intensity whole-game defense, but as soon as England’s back line makes a mistake, it could directly change the course of the match.
However, based on the overall setup, England’s midfield and forward line are more balanced, and they also have clearer advantages in squad depth and the bench. As long as they can limit Norway’s counterattacks and avoid getting impatient when they can’t break through for a long time, England still has a better chance of deciding the match within 90 minutes.
Final prediction: Norway 1-2 England, England advances.
🇦🇷 Argentina VS 🇨🇭 Switzerland
Beijing time: July 12 09:00
📊 Qualification probability
🇦🇷 Argentina: 68%
🇨🇭 Switzerland: 32%
⚽ Personal score: Argentina 2-0 Switzerland
📈 Most likely score: 1-0
⚠️ Dangerous scenario: 0-0 or 1-1, the match dragged into extra time
Switzerland isn’t a team that’s easy to break through. Their overall formation is tight, and their tactical discipline is strong. They will most likely actively shrink the space, looking for chances through defensive counterattacks and set pieces.
Argentina’s advantage is that their front court has stronger individual ability and their attacking approaches are more varied. Against a defensive team like Switzerland, the first half may not be especially open—but if Argentina can score first, the space afterward will increase noticeably.
The biggest risk here is that Argentina can’t break through after sustained pressure and gets dragged into a low-tempo grind against Switzerland. Still, judging overall strength, ability to control the game, and handling of key moments, Argentina is the more值得看好 side.
Final prediction: Argentina 2-0 Switzerland, Argentina advances to the semifinals.
Two matches overall: I think England and Argentina will meet in the semifinals. Let’s wait and see~