July 11 BTC/ETH Mi Shen strategy

Have a great weekend—quick and to the point, going straight to the good stuff.
Both BTC and ETH have reached pressure areas near the most-recent swing highs and are consolidating there. There’s no need to worry too much—being able to range around the pressure level itself is a show of strength. The overall dip trend (哆头趋势) is fine. However, you need to watch for the main force setting up a fake breakdown to shake out the trapped liquidity near the prior high. From the traders’ psychology, when most people first get out of their positions, they may just probe. But once they see a rapid pullback, loss aversion will cause participants to quickly dump at any cost. If the dip trend continues and the washout action plays out as expected, it will be an excellent opportunity to top up the dip (哆头补票). The market can also attempt to catch the possibility of a fake breakdown by the main force: use the prior high as defense. You can try it one or two times. Even though the stop-loss is small, it’s not recommended to keep repeating “fail and try again.” After your stop-loss hits beyond the allowed limit, firmly stop participating in left-side trial-and-error—otherwise the cumulative risk-reward ratio won’t be worth it.

Next, let’s talk about specific setups.

BTC: Re-emphasize the importance and rationality of the three key ranges. These three boxes have all been validated over the long term and effectively work on price. If you don’t believe that, you don’t need to read what follows. In the night session, try a push toward the midline of the second range → the July rebound high at 64730. For short setups, using this midline as defense, or using the upper bound of the second range at 65400 as defense to add shorts to fade (补空) works. A trade is only acceptable when you can clearly know your potential loss. If the “fake breakdown to top up dip” logic holds, then the first dip-buy (接哆) area is 62200-62888, defending with 61800 below. The second dip-buy (接哆) area is 60800-61800. Any further drop isn’t within the “fake breakdown” category anymore—it’s more like a trend reversal to short. So we tentatively set these two ranges for dip-buying. (See chart for details.)

ETH: The three clear points—1810-1825-1855—are very obvious. In the night session, after touching 1810, price began to consolidate below the pressure area. The dip-buy plan (哆头思路) is to use the prior three points as defenses. For example: if you buy at 1810, defend with 1825; if you buy at 1825, defend with 1855; and so on. Overthinking only slows things down. Again, left-side trial-and-error is always based on historical pressure levels, trying to catch turn signals early. Fundamentally, it’s a small bet for a big payoff—so position control and strict stop-loss are two things you can’t get around. For the fake breakdown to add dip-buys logic: the 1755-1790 area below is itself a dense liquidity/position zone. After yesterday regained it, if you see a pullback, look for support at 1755; above that level, top up the dip (补哆) attempt. The second range is the larger box of 1669-1715. With a deep pullback into here, higher-timeframe technicals are also acceptable. If it goes lower, it’s easy to reach the core support zone—if the structure turns bad, it may effectively announce the end of the rebound. (See chart for details.)#美伊战争阴云再起 $BTC ‌