Crypto World News: The historical Bitcoin halving cycle poses a challenge to analysts’ predicted $300k to $500k target range. Analysts expect the next cycle to begin later this year, with a target price range of $300k to $500k. However, data suggests that returns may be more moderate than in the past. Bitcoin has been volatile over the four-year cycle: the first halving took place in 2012, and the fifth halving is scheduled for April 2028. In the past, prices typically bottomed about 18 months before the halving and began a new bull market, with the bull market peaking about 16 to 18 months after the halving. Analyst Peter Brandt expects the next high peak to be between $300k and $500k, while Bernstein analysts expect the price to reach $500k by 2029. Even so, as the market becomes more institutionalized, the capital required to drive Bitcoin significantly higher has increased markedly. Digital assets posted losses for the third consecutive quarter in the second quarter of 2026, marking the longest loss period since the 2022 bear market.

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GateUser-c25a653c

· 7h ago

Three consecutive quarters of losses, setting a record—but in crypto, when hasn’t it flown off in desperation?

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PerpNightRunner

· 10h ago

How long has Brant been yelling for 300,000–500k? My ears have calluses.

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Don'tBeACoachForBagholders

· 10h ago

Bernstein directly sees 2029—this time span made my wallet shrink first

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ForkliftFaye

· 10h ago

Still losing in 2026 Q2? Does building a position now count as buying the dip on the left side?

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SpiralCandlestickCollecting

· 10h ago

The historical cycle is indeed accurate, but after institutionalization, the gameplay changed early—there are far too many barriers to entry in terms of capital.

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BlackVelvetKey

· 11h ago

Reached the bottom 18 months before the halving—just looking at it, it seems like it’s right around the corner. Panicking.

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Bitcoin halving cycle historical challenges predictions of $300k–$500k

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