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Old Tether again did a TACO! Israel wants to strike, he holds them back; he shouts “stop the fire” on the surface and declares the ceasefire over, then turns his head and agrees to continue negotiations!
Today’s headlines are very clear: the US and Iran want to keep talking, and Iran’s foreign minister will go to Oman on Saturday to discuss the Strait of Hormuz; the US, Iran, Pakistan, and Qatar also plan to hold a four-way call. Although Trump said the “temporary ceasefire has ended,” the negotiation channels were never closed, and every side is controlling the market.
My take: This is the most typical TACO setup—calling for fighting with words, while the actual actions are all “hold steady, don’t get carried away.” Bitcoin breaking above 64,000 already shows the market has fully digested this script. As long as Israel is not released, the conflict can’t escalate.
What should players do: $BTC above 64,000, the next barrier is 65,000; pull back to 63,600–63,800 to buy is safer than chasing higher.
#美伊战争阴云再起