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Is this XLM bulls’ last chance? On the 4-hour timeframe, 95% of shorts are already set up with a win rate.
$XLM /USDT - SHORT (sell short)
Trading plan:
Entry: 0.19000 – 0.19084
SL: 0.19441
TP1: 0.18743
TP2: 0.18544
TP3: 0.18245
Why focus on this structure?
- The daily trend is clearly bearish, with 4-hour EMA shorts stacked and suppressing price.
- RSI on the 15-minute chart is 55.24; bounces lack strength, and the fake-breakout/inducement signal is obvious.
- ATR on the 1-hour chart is 0.001661; volatility is low, but the short target TP1 at 0.18743 is within reach.
- Why now? Price keeps repeatedly testing the 0.19042 resistance level; once it breaks below 0.19000, it can accelerate down to TP2 at 0.18544.
Discussion:
Will this SHORT hit TP1 at 0.18743 first, or will it first pull back to 0.19315 for a fake breakout?